Afghanistan and Its Central Asian Neighbors

Toward Dividing Insecurity

Nonfiction, Social & Cultural Studies, Political Science, International, International Security
Cover of the book Afghanistan and Its Central Asian Neighbors by Ivan Safranchuk, Center for Strategic & International Studies
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Author: Ivan Safranchuk ISBN: 9781442280182
Publisher: Center for Strategic & International Studies Publication: June 26, 2017
Imprint: Center for Strategic & International Studies Language: English
Author: Ivan Safranchuk
ISBN: 9781442280182
Publisher: Center for Strategic & International Studies
Publication: June 26, 2017
Imprint: Center for Strategic & International Studies
Language: English

The general trend in Afghanistan is clear-cut: the overall security situation has consistently deteriorated since 2009, worsening dramatically since 2014. However, in the provinces of Afghanistan adjacent to Central Asia, the security situation has deteriorated even further than in Afghanistan as a whole. This report considers the range of options available to the Central Asian neighbors of Afghanistan (Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) in responding to this growing threat, both unilaterally and in their bilateral engagement with actors in Afghanistan. Furthermore, it considers how decision making processes in Central Asia will be affected by future developments in Afghanistan by assessing options and likely outcomes under a set of security scenarios in Afghanistan itself.

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The general trend in Afghanistan is clear-cut: the overall security situation has consistently deteriorated since 2009, worsening dramatically since 2014. However, in the provinces of Afghanistan adjacent to Central Asia, the security situation has deteriorated even further than in Afghanistan as a whole. This report considers the range of options available to the Central Asian neighbors of Afghanistan (Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) in responding to this growing threat, both unilaterally and in their bilateral engagement with actors in Afghanistan. Furthermore, it considers how decision making processes in Central Asia will be affected by future developments in Afghanistan by assessing options and likely outcomes under a set of security scenarios in Afghanistan itself.

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