Automatic trend estimation

Nonfiction, Science & Nature, Science, Physics, Mathematical Physics, General Physics
Cover of the book Automatic trend estimation by C˘alin Vamos¸, Maria Cr˘aciun, Springer Netherlands
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Author: C˘alin Vamos¸, Maria Cr˘aciun ISBN: 9789400748255
Publisher: Springer Netherlands Publication: September 14, 2012
Imprint: Springer Language: English
Author: C˘alin Vamos¸, Maria Cr˘aciun
ISBN: 9789400748255
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Publication: September 14, 2012
Imprint: Springer
Language: English

Our book introduces a method to evaluate the accuracy of trend estimation algorithms under conditions similar to those encountered in real time series processing. This method is based on Monte Carlo experiments with artificial time series numerically generated by an original algorithm. The second part of the book contains several automatic algorithms for trend estimation and time series partitioning. The source codes of the computer programs implementing these original automatic algorithms are given in the appendix and will be freely available on the web. The book contains clear statement of the conditions and the approximations under which the algorithms work, as well as the proper interpretation of their results. We illustrate the functioning of the analyzed algorithms by processing time series from astrophysics, finance, biophysics, and paleoclimatology. The numerical experiment method extensively used in our book is already in common use in computational and statistical physics.

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Our book introduces a method to evaluate the accuracy of trend estimation algorithms under conditions similar to those encountered in real time series processing. This method is based on Monte Carlo experiments with artificial time series numerically generated by an original algorithm. The second part of the book contains several automatic algorithms for trend estimation and time series partitioning. The source codes of the computer programs implementing these original automatic algorithms are given in the appendix and will be freely available on the web. The book contains clear statement of the conditions and the approximations under which the algorithms work, as well as the proper interpretation of their results. We illustrate the functioning of the analyzed algorithms by processing time series from astrophysics, finance, biophysics, and paleoclimatology. The numerical experiment method extensively used in our book is already in common use in computational and statistical physics.

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