China’s Macroeconomic Outlook

Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2014

Business & Finance, Economics, Macroeconomics, Economic Development
Cover of the book China’s Macroeconomic Outlook by CMR of Xiamen University, Springer Berlin Heidelberg
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Author: CMR of Xiamen University ISBN: 9783662458655
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg Publication: January 6, 2015
Imprint: Springer Language: English
Author: CMR of Xiamen University
ISBN: 9783662458655
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Publication: January 6, 2015
Imprint: Springer
Language: English

​This book  provides key insights into how to control local government debts and optimize the makeup of debts in China. The rapid growth of investment in infrastructure on the part of local governments has offset the slowdown of investment growth in manufacturing and real estate and maintained the growth rate of 7.7% in 2013. However, local governments’ debts have accumulated, which increases the risk of debt default and threatens the stability of China’s financial system. The research suggests that increasing the proportion of issuing bonds in total debts would be the first step toward eliminating the debt risk. Second, the Chinese government should play its part; and lastly, the government should relinquish its administrative control and monopoly in order to allow the service industry to further develop.

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​This book  provides key insights into how to control local government debts and optimize the makeup of debts in China. The rapid growth of investment in infrastructure on the part of local governments has offset the slowdown of investment growth in manufacturing and real estate and maintained the growth rate of 7.7% in 2013. However, local governments’ debts have accumulated, which increases the risk of debt default and threatens the stability of China’s financial system. The research suggests that increasing the proportion of issuing bonds in total debts would be the first step toward eliminating the debt risk. Second, the Chinese government should play its part; and lastly, the government should relinquish its administrative control and monopoly in order to allow the service industry to further develop.

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