Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions
With Application to Weather Routing and Wind Power Generation
Nonfiction, Computers, Application Software, Educational Software, Business & Finance, Business Reference, Education, Economics, Economic Conditions
| Author: | David Zastrau | ISBN: | 9783631718964 |
| Publisher: | Peter Lang | Publication: | February 28, 2017 |
| Imprint: | Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften | Language: | English |
| Author: | David Zastrau |
| ISBN: | 9783631718964 |
| Publisher: | Peter Lang |
| Publication: | February 28, 2017 |
| Imprint: | Peter Lang GmbH, Internationaler Verlag der Wissenschaften |
| Language: | English |
Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly.
Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly.
