Global Growth and Financial Spillovers and the South African Macro-economy

Business & Finance, Economics, International Economics, Macroeconomics
Cover of the book Global Growth and Financial Spillovers and the South African Macro-economy by Mthuli Ncube, Eliphas Ndou, Nombulelo Gumata, Palgrave Macmillan UK
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Author: Mthuli Ncube, Eliphas Ndou, Nombulelo Gumata ISBN: 9781137512963
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan UK Publication: April 29, 2016
Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan Language: English
Author: Mthuli Ncube, Eliphas Ndou, Nombulelo Gumata
ISBN: 9781137512963
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan UK
Publication: April 29, 2016
Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan
Language: English

To what extent is South Africa affected by G8 economies and BRIC growth shocks? This book identifies channels that amplify these shock effects, the relevance of third country transmission effects and the effects of the first and second rounds of US quantitative easing. The changing reactions of South African variables over time to financial shocks emanating from the US and selected countries in the Euro area, is presented. The book quantifies the effects of capital flow shocks, determines the counterfactuals of asset prices and economic growth variables, and compares the contribution of capital flows and domestic macro factors on asset prices. The effects of the exchange rate depreciation are contrasted to the decline in investment as key drivers of the trade balance. Stock market interdependence is determined amongst South African, Indian and Brazilian equities. The contributions of stock price returns and volatility on South African economic growth are contrasted. The authors construct a financial stress index for South Africa and determine how it amplifies shocks.

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To what extent is South Africa affected by G8 economies and BRIC growth shocks? This book identifies channels that amplify these shock effects, the relevance of third country transmission effects and the effects of the first and second rounds of US quantitative easing. The changing reactions of South African variables over time to financial shocks emanating from the US and selected countries in the Euro area, is presented. The book quantifies the effects of capital flow shocks, determines the counterfactuals of asset prices and economic growth variables, and compares the contribution of capital flows and domestic macro factors on asset prices. The effects of the exchange rate depreciation are contrasted to the decline in investment as key drivers of the trade balance. Stock market interdependence is determined amongst South African, Indian and Brazilian equities. The contributions of stock price returns and volatility on South African economic growth are contrasted. The authors construct a financial stress index for South Africa and determine how it amplifies shocks.

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