National Defense Intelligence College Paper: Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers: An Experiment in Applying Structured Methods - Case Studies, Scenarios, Two-Tailed Tests

Nonfiction, History, Military, Strategy
Cover of the book National Defense Intelligence College Paper: Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers: An Experiment in Applying Structured Methods - Case Studies, Scenarios, Two-Tailed Tests by Progressive Management, Progressive Management
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Author: Progressive Management ISBN: 9781310862380
Publisher: Progressive Management Publication: December 5, 2013
Imprint: Smashwords Edition Language: English
Author: Progressive Management
ISBN: 9781310862380
Publisher: Progressive Management
Publication: December 5, 2013
Imprint: Smashwords Edition
Language: English

This unique and informative paper was produced by the National Intelligence University / National Defense Intelligence College. In clear, articulate, unmistakable language, Master Sergeant Folker's learned thesis sets forth the key opposing arguments in the long-standing controversy over the role of structuring in intelligence analysis. The controversy is largely one-sided, because proponents of intuitive analysis see no purpose in debating the issue, as they are completely satisfied with the status quo. It is only the structuring enthusiasts who see a need for drastic change in the way analysis is conducted. Because, as Folker points out, supporters of the status quo include not only most analysts but most commanders as well, the structuring enthusiasts have never made progress in reforming the other side. And they won't make any progress until the superiority of structured analysis over intuitive analysis is proved, which Folker has taken a first giant step in doing. And it is precisely on this point that Folker challenges the Intelligence Community— indeed the entire U.S. government and the private sector as well—to design and conduct reliable tests to demonstrate which analytic approach is superior: structured or intuitive. Given the wide range of available structuring techniques, each one should be tested in competition with intuition. There are many myths prevalent in the analytic community, public and private, concerning structured analysis: It is time-consuming and overly complicated; it eliminates the indispensable role of intuition; it involves numbers and arcane formulae that render analysis mechanical and devoid of creative solutions; and so on. Tests like Folker's will surely dispose of these myths and demonstrate the immense value and power of structuring.

His thesis, moreover, should encourage students to undertake research experiments that challenge long-held beliefs and test new theories of military interest. JMIC students are especially well placed to conduct thoughtful, creative research because they bring to this scholarly environment a rich mixture of background and viewpoints, and because they remain vitally involved in the business of wringing meaning from a great variety of intelligence information.

Topics and subjects include: qualitative analysis, structured methodologies, case studies, scenarios, two-tailed tests.

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

This unique and informative paper was produced by the National Intelligence University / National Defense Intelligence College. In clear, articulate, unmistakable language, Master Sergeant Folker's learned thesis sets forth the key opposing arguments in the long-standing controversy over the role of structuring in intelligence analysis. The controversy is largely one-sided, because proponents of intuitive analysis see no purpose in debating the issue, as they are completely satisfied with the status quo. It is only the structuring enthusiasts who see a need for drastic change in the way analysis is conducted. Because, as Folker points out, supporters of the status quo include not only most analysts but most commanders as well, the structuring enthusiasts have never made progress in reforming the other side. And they won't make any progress until the superiority of structured analysis over intuitive analysis is proved, which Folker has taken a first giant step in doing. And it is precisely on this point that Folker challenges the Intelligence Community— indeed the entire U.S. government and the private sector as well—to design and conduct reliable tests to demonstrate which analytic approach is superior: structured or intuitive. Given the wide range of available structuring techniques, each one should be tested in competition with intuition. There are many myths prevalent in the analytic community, public and private, concerning structured analysis: It is time-consuming and overly complicated; it eliminates the indispensable role of intuition; it involves numbers and arcane formulae that render analysis mechanical and devoid of creative solutions; and so on. Tests like Folker's will surely dispose of these myths and demonstrate the immense value and power of structuring.

His thesis, moreover, should encourage students to undertake research experiments that challenge long-held beliefs and test new theories of military interest. JMIC students are especially well placed to conduct thoughtful, creative research because they bring to this scholarly environment a rich mixture of background and viewpoints, and because they remain vitally involved in the business of wringing meaning from a great variety of intelligence information.

Topics and subjects include: qualitative analysis, structured methodologies, case studies, scenarios, two-tailed tests.

More books from Progressive Management

Cover of the book The Report of the Presidential Commission on the Space Shuttle Challenger Accident: The Tragedy of Mission 51-L in 1986 - Volume Three, Appendix O, Search, Recovery and Reconstruction Report by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Complete Guide to World War II's Forgotten War: The Aleutian Campaign in Alaska and North Pacific Against Japan - Kiska, Attu, Komandorski Islands, Operation Landcrab, Cold Weather Fighting, Navy by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Return of the Bear? Russia's Ties with Former Soviet Allies in Latin America: Nicaragua, Cuba, Castro, Ortega, Counter-narcotics, Arms Transfers, Putin, Cuban Missile Crisis, Naval Deployments, Bases by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Skilled and Resolute: A History of the 12th Evacuation Hospital and the 212th MASH 1917-2006 - World War I and II, Vietnam, Persian Gulf War Desert Storm, Balkans, Iraq War, Iraqi Freedom, Final Days by Progressive Management
Cover of the book General Kenney Reports: A Personal History of the Pacific War - General Douglas MacArthur, World War II, Bismarck Sea, Philippines, Leyte, Okinawa and the Kyushu Plan, Australia, Japanese Surrender by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Protection of Civilians (PoC) Military Reference Guide - Peacekeeping, U.N. Protection, Protection of Children, Conflict-Related Sexual Violence, SWEAT-MSO, Patrols, Humanitarian Assistance by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 21st Century Essential Veterans Benefits Sourcebook: Complete Coverage of Education Benefits, the GI Bill, Home Loan Programs, Life Insurance Programs, Health Care - Including Dependents and Survivors by Progressive Management
Cover of the book President Barack Obama’s Farewell Address to the Nation (January 10, 2017) by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 2012 Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Research, Development and Demonstration Roadmap of the Next Generation Air Transportation System - Domestic UAV and Drone Operations by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Applications in Operational Culture: Perspectives from the Field - Marine Corps Historical Perspective, Iraq, Afghanistan, al-Qaeda, Pashtun Tribes, Iraqi Army, Long Fight in the Long War by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Fighting with a Conscience: The Effects of an American Sense of Morality on the Evolution of Strategic Bombing Campaigns - World War I and II, European and Pacific Theater, Korea, Vietnam, Iraq by Progressive Management
Cover of the book The Report of the Presidential Commission on the Space Shuttle Challenger Accident: The Tragedy of Mission 51-L in 1986 - Volume Two, Appendix E, F, G, H, I, J, and K, including Feynman Analysis by Progressive Management
Cover of the book The Contracting Support Brigade (CSB): Is It Capable of Sustaining Tempo and Combat Power in the Operational Environment? Afghanistan and Operation Enduring Freedom, Army Sustainment Capability by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Joint Doctrine Encyclopedia: Part Two: Definitions of Critical Joint Force Defense Department Terms, From Joint Force Surgeon to Worldwide Military Command and Control System by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Velocity: Speed with Direction - The Professional Career of General Jerome F. O'Malley - Controversy about North Vietnam Bombing Authorization and President Nixon, the Lavelle Raids of the Vietnam War by Progressive Management
We use our own "cookies" and third party cookies to improve services and to see statistical information. By using this website, you agree to our Privacy Policy