Promises of Political Dialogue: Changes in Myanmar's Ceasefire Process - President Thein Sein and the Border Guard Forces (BGF), Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) with Tatmadaw National Military

Nonfiction, History, Asian, Southeast Asia, Social & Cultural Studies, Political Science, International
Cover of the book Promises of Political Dialogue: Changes in Myanmar's Ceasefire Process - President Thein Sein and the Border Guard Forces (BGF), Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) with Tatmadaw National Military by Progressive Management, Progressive Management
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Author: Progressive Management ISBN: 9780463683811
Publisher: Progressive Management Publication: July 8, 2018
Imprint: Smashwords Edition Language: English
Author: Progressive Management
ISBN: 9780463683811
Publisher: Progressive Management
Publication: July 8, 2018
Imprint: Smashwords Edition
Language: English

This important December 2017 report has been professionally converted for accurate flowing-text e-book format reproduction.

Myanmar's central government has wrestled with ethnically linked violence and separatism since its independence in 1948. Bilateral ceasefire efforts in the late 1980s and early 1990s achieved partial success, as many ethnic minority groups agreed to the ceasefires. The Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) process from 2011-2015 aimed to complete the task. This thesis explores why some groups signed the NCA and some refused. The comparative analysis of the two ceasefire processes, focusing on the Kachin and Karen minority groups, shows that the marked political shift in 2011 with President Thein Sein's administration affected ethnic minority groups' decisions of whether to sign the accord. Due to the built-up mistrust of the military government from broken ceasefire promises of economic development and political dialogue, along with a renewal of conflict, ethnic groups that had participated in the earlier ceasefire process tended to abstain from the NCA. Conversely, as the non-bilateral ceasefire groups had not amassed any additional resentment toward the government, they bought into the innovative NCA process, which promised future political dialogue toward a federal union. For the ceasefire negotiation process to succeed, Myanmar's government will need to cease the violence and obtain the trust of the remaining non-ceasefire groups to persuade them to sign the NCA.

I. INTRODUCTION * A. MAJOR RESEARCH QUESTION * B. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE RESEARCH QUESTION * C. LITERATURE REVIEW * D. HYPOTHESES * E. RESEARCH DESIGN * F. THESIS OVERVIEW * II. BILATERAL CEASEFIRE PROCESS (1989-1995) * A. POLITICAL-ECONOMIC CONTEXT PRIOR TO THE BILATERAL CEASEFIRES * 1. Ethnic Conflict Post-Independence * 2. Ne Win Regime * 3. Geopolitical Factors Leading into Bilateral Ceasefires * B. BILATERAL CEASEFIRES: CONTENT AND STRATEGY * C. ETHNIC MINORITY GROUP REACTIONS * 1. Accepting the Bilateral Ceasefires * 2. Rejecting the Bilateral Ceasefires * D. CHAPTER SUMMARY * III. NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE PROCESS (2011-2015) * A. FACTORS LEADING TO OPPOSING THE NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT * 1. Broken Promises * 2. Unexpected Ultimatum * 3. Devolving into Violence * B. FACTORS LEADING TO SIGNING THE NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT * 1. Political Ideology * 2. Nationwide Ceasefire Framework and Process * C. RESPONSES OF THE ETHNIC MINORITY GROUPS * 1. Bilateral Ceasefire Groups * 2. Non-Bilateral Ceasefire Groups * D. CHAPTER SUMMARY * IV. CONCLUSION * A. CEASEFIRE DYNAMICS DURING POLITICAL INFLECTION POINTS * B. CONTINUATION OF THE NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE PROCESS * C. IMPLICATIONS OF THE CEASEFIRE NEGOTIATIONS

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

This important December 2017 report has been professionally converted for accurate flowing-text e-book format reproduction.

Myanmar's central government has wrestled with ethnically linked violence and separatism since its independence in 1948. Bilateral ceasefire efforts in the late 1980s and early 1990s achieved partial success, as many ethnic minority groups agreed to the ceasefires. The Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA) process from 2011-2015 aimed to complete the task. This thesis explores why some groups signed the NCA and some refused. The comparative analysis of the two ceasefire processes, focusing on the Kachin and Karen minority groups, shows that the marked political shift in 2011 with President Thein Sein's administration affected ethnic minority groups' decisions of whether to sign the accord. Due to the built-up mistrust of the military government from broken ceasefire promises of economic development and political dialogue, along with a renewal of conflict, ethnic groups that had participated in the earlier ceasefire process tended to abstain from the NCA. Conversely, as the non-bilateral ceasefire groups had not amassed any additional resentment toward the government, they bought into the innovative NCA process, which promised future political dialogue toward a federal union. For the ceasefire negotiation process to succeed, Myanmar's government will need to cease the violence and obtain the trust of the remaining non-ceasefire groups to persuade them to sign the NCA.

I. INTRODUCTION * A. MAJOR RESEARCH QUESTION * B. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE RESEARCH QUESTION * C. LITERATURE REVIEW * D. HYPOTHESES * E. RESEARCH DESIGN * F. THESIS OVERVIEW * II. BILATERAL CEASEFIRE PROCESS (1989-1995) * A. POLITICAL-ECONOMIC CONTEXT PRIOR TO THE BILATERAL CEASEFIRES * 1. Ethnic Conflict Post-Independence * 2. Ne Win Regime * 3. Geopolitical Factors Leading into Bilateral Ceasefires * B. BILATERAL CEASEFIRES: CONTENT AND STRATEGY * C. ETHNIC MINORITY GROUP REACTIONS * 1. Accepting the Bilateral Ceasefires * 2. Rejecting the Bilateral Ceasefires * D. CHAPTER SUMMARY * III. NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE PROCESS (2011-2015) * A. FACTORS LEADING TO OPPOSING THE NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT * 1. Broken Promises * 2. Unexpected Ultimatum * 3. Devolving into Violence * B. FACTORS LEADING TO SIGNING THE NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT * 1. Political Ideology * 2. Nationwide Ceasefire Framework and Process * C. RESPONSES OF THE ETHNIC MINORITY GROUPS * 1. Bilateral Ceasefire Groups * 2. Non-Bilateral Ceasefire Groups * D. CHAPTER SUMMARY * IV. CONCLUSION * A. CEASEFIRE DYNAMICS DURING POLITICAL INFLECTION POINTS * B. CONTINUATION OF THE NATIONWIDE CEASEFIRE PROCESS * C. IMPLICATIONS OF THE CEASEFIRE NEGOTIATIONS

More books from Progressive Management

Cover of the book Giving Up Terrain: The U.S. Armed Force's Failure to Control Inland Waterways in the 21s Century - Projecting Seapower into the Brown Water Environment, Riverine Operations, Littorals, Vietnam, Iraq by Progressive Management
Cover of the book The Army and the Need for an Amphibious Capability: Role in the Pivot to the Pacific, Defeating Aggression, DOTMLPF Doctrine, Organization, Training, Materiel, Leadership and Education, Personnel by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Impunity: Countering Illicit Power in War and Transition - H.R. McMaster Foreword, Corruption in Afghanistan, Iraq, Haiti, Liberia, Pakistan, Colombia, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Russia, Odessa Network by Progressive Management
Cover of the book CRE Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae Sourcebook: Clinical Data for Patients, Physicians, and Health Care Institutions on the New Threat of Untreatable "Superbug" Bacteria by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Gays and Lesbians in the U.S. Military: DoD Reports on the Comprehensive Review of the Issues Associated with a Repeal of Don't Ask, Don't Tell (DADT), Plus Military Implementation Plan by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 21st Century Adult Cancer Sourcebook: Kaposi Sarcoma - Clinical Data for Patients, Families, and Physicians by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 21st Century U.S. Military Manuals: Offense and Defense, Army Doctrine Reference Publication 3-90, Tactical Fundamentals, Concepts, Echelons, Maneuver, Reconnaissance (Professional Format Series) by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Irregular Warfare Special Study: Joint Warfighting Center Report on Terrorism, Counterterrorism, Unconventional Warfare, Foreign Internal Defense, Psychological Operations, Counterintelligence by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Air Force Cyberspace Reports: Principles of War, Act and Actor Attribution, Legal Framework, Influence Operations and the Internet, Command and Control Model, Sea Power and Fleet Resources by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 21st Century Behcet's Disease Sourcebook: Clinical Data for Patients, Families, and Physicians - Diagnosis, Testing, Treatment, Drugs, Uveitis, Vasculitis and Related Autoimmune Diseases by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Vanguard of Valor: Small Unit Actions in Afghanistan (Volume Two) - Afghan Surge, Bravo Company, Kabul Province, CERP, Bagram, Tactical Female Engagement Teams, Musahi Valley by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Air Force Doctrine Document 3-52: Airspace Control - Command and Organization, Cross-Domain Integration, Planning and Execution, Major Operations and Campaigns, Irregular Warfare by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Resurgent Russia in 2030: Challenge for the USAF - Alternate Russian Futures, Political, Economic, and Military Background, Rising Power, Friend or Foe, Implications for the American Military by Progressive Management
Cover of the book A European Identity: Too Much to Hope For? Far-Right Populist Parties, British UKIP and German AfD Parties, Potential for Catastrophic European Union (EU) Failure and Issues for U.S. Security by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Exploring Strategic Thinking: Insights to Assess, Develop, and Retain Army Strategic Thinkers - Qualitative Thinking, Metacognitive Ability, Abductive Reasoning, Visualization, System Theory by Progressive Management
We use our own "cookies" and third party cookies to improve services and to see statistical information. By using this website, you agree to our Privacy Policy