The Presidential Expectations Gap

Public Attitudes Concerning the Presidency

Nonfiction, Social & Cultural Studies, Political Science, Government
Cover of the book The Presidential Expectations Gap by Richard Waterman, Hank Jenkins-Smith, Carol L Silva, University of Michigan Press
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Author: Richard Waterman, Hank Jenkins-Smith, Carol L Silva ISBN: 9780472029716
Publisher: University of Michigan Press Publication: March 14, 2014
Imprint: University of Michigan Press Language: English
Author: Richard Waterman, Hank Jenkins-Smith, Carol L Silva
ISBN: 9780472029716
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Publication: March 14, 2014
Imprint: University of Michigan Press
Language: English

For decades, public expectations of U.S. presidents have become increasingly excessive and unreasonable. Despite much anecdotal evidence, few scholars have attempted to test the expectations gap thesis empirically. This is the first systematic study to prove the existence of the expectations gap and to identify the factors that contribute to the public’s disappointment in a given president.

Using data from five original surveys, the authors confirm that the expectations gap is manifest in public opinion. It leads to lower approval ratings, lowers the chance that a president will be reelected, and even contributes to the success of the political party that does not hold the White House in congressional midterm elections. This study provides important insights not only on the American presidency and public opinion, but also on citizens’ trust in government.

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For decades, public expectations of U.S. presidents have become increasingly excessive and unreasonable. Despite much anecdotal evidence, few scholars have attempted to test the expectations gap thesis empirically. This is the first systematic study to prove the existence of the expectations gap and to identify the factors that contribute to the public’s disappointment in a given president.

Using data from five original surveys, the authors confirm that the expectations gap is manifest in public opinion. It leads to lower approval ratings, lowers the chance that a president will be reelected, and even contributes to the success of the political party that does not hold the White House in congressional midterm elections. This study provides important insights not only on the American presidency and public opinion, but also on citizens’ trust in government.

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