Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones

Nonfiction, Science & Nature, Science, Other Sciences, Meteorology, Computers
Cover of the book Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones by Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Springer Berlin Heidelberg
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Author: Asuka Suzuki-Parker ISBN: 9783642250293
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg Publication: January 5, 2012
Imprint: Springer Language: English
Author: Asuka Suzuki-Parker
ISBN: 9783642250293
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Publication: January 5, 2012
Imprint: Springer
Language: English

The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and
tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to
enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.
The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical
cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of
selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were
relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future
assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.
The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to
statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional
climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.
Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of
determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most
vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation
strategies.

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and
tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to
enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.
The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical
cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of
selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were
relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future
assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.
The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to
statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional
climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.
Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of
determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most
vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation
strategies.

More books from Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Cover of the book Proceedings of the 2015 Chinese Intelligent Automation Conference by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Nitrosyl Complexes in Inorganic Chemistry, Biochemistry and Medicine I by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book 1000 Fragen aus Genetik, Biochemie, Zellbiologie und Mikrobiologie by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Knowledge Engineering and Management by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Theoretical Geomorphology by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Natural Heritage from East to West by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book The Relevance of Manganese in the Ocean for the Climatic Cycles in the Quaternary by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Architecture Principles by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Clinical Oxygen Pressure Measurement by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Target Volume Definition in Radiation Oncology by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book European Instructional Lectures by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Process-based Strategic Planning by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book The First 30 Years of the ESPR by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Spatial Filtering for the Control of Smart Structures by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
Cover of the book Intraoperative Ultrasound Imaging in Neurosurgery by Asuka Suzuki-Parker
We use our own "cookies" and third party cookies to improve services and to see statistical information. By using this website, you agree to our Privacy Policy